Table 4

Associations between potential risk factors (PAFs) and sickness absence due to a shoulder lesion

		All			Men			Women
		HR*	95% CI	PAF	HR†	95% CI	PAF	HR†	95% CI	PAF
Age (at baseline) (years)
	30–39	1.00			1.00			1.00
	40–49	2.10	1.56 to 2.83		1.99	1.27 to 3.13		2.23	1.50 to 3.31
	50–62	3.85	2.53 to 5.85		4.78	2.63 to 8.69		3.07	1.69 to 5.57
BMI (kg/m²)
	Normal (<25)	1.00			1.00			1.00
	Overweight (25.0–29.9)	1.30	0.97 to 1.73		1.43	0.90 to 2.28		1.28	0.88 to 1.86
	Obese (≥30)	1.36	0.96 to 1.93		2.18	1.29 to 3.68	0.30	0.91	0.56 to 1.48
Chronic disease
	No	1.00			1.00			1.00
	Yes	1.28	0.98 to 1.66		1.13	0.75 to 1.69		1.40	0.99 to 1.97
Daily smoking				0.16			0.14			0.15
	No	1.00			1.00			1.00
	Yes	1.69	1.30 to 2.19		1.51	1.02 to 2.24		1.81	1.28 to 2.58
Cumulative exposure to physically heavy work (years)				0.18	0.19					0.23
	<10	1.00			1.00			1.00
	>10	1.73	1.26 to 2.38		1.23	0.75 to 2.03		2.16	1.43 to 3.25
Number of exposers with time of exposure >10 years				0.26	0.31					0.22
	None	1.00			1.00			1.00
	One	1.28	0.86 to 1.91		0.64	0.26 to 1.56		1.59	0.99 to 2.54
	Two to four	2.04	1.43 to 2.91		2.50	1.45 to 4.30	0.34	1.82	1.13 to 2.93
Overall PAF				0.49			0.60			0.49