Table 2

Results of meta-regression analysis of return to work rates (%) following back pain related work absence

Up to 1 month1–6 months6 months or longer
nPooled estimate (95% CI)Meta-regressionnPooled estimate (95% CI)Meta-regressionnPooled estimate (95% CI)Meta-regression
p ValueExplained variance (%)p ValueExplained variance (%)p ValueExplained variance (%)
All studies1368.2 (54.8 to 79.1)1385.6 (78.2 to 90.7)1093.3 (84.0 to 97.4)
Setting0.7870.00.4030.40.00378.8
 Insurance database460.3 (56.6 to to 63.9)479.0 (64.3 to 88.7)297.7 (92.7 to 99.3)
 Population
 Healthcare568.1 (28.9 to 91.8)784.4 (69.2 to 92.9)468.9 (54.2 to 80.6)
 Workplace475.6 (51.4 to 90.0)295.7 (94.2 to 96.8)498.1 (95.7 to 99.2)
Geographical area0.7270.00.3035.90.3231.4
 North America966.1 (49.5 to 79.6)980.4 (69.5 to 88.1)795.5 (82.5 to 98.9)
 Europe472.8 (51.6 to 87.0)395.4 (94.0 to 96.5)384.7 (58.3 to 95.6)
 Other281.8 (74.2 to 87.5)
Study period*0.7180.00.9050.00.3707.1
 1977–1990165.7 (61.4 to 69.8)289.4 (51.1 to 98.6)198.8 (97.3 to 99.5)
 1991–2000875.1 (51.8 to 89.4)987.9 (74.8 to 94.7)691.2 (74.7 to 97.3)
 2001–2007252.6 (37.1 to 67.5)298.0 (91.7 to 99.6)
Assessment0.2613.30.8360.00.00857.4
 Electronic record657.3 (51.6 to 62.9)483.7 (74.6 to 89.9)598.1 (96.1 to 99.0)
 Self-reported776.4 (43.8 to 93.1)986.6 (72.3 to 94.1)579.0 (62.7 to 89.3)
Participation bias0.03927.30.01439.50.3633.6
 Low risk of bias1058.6 (45.9 to 70.3)1179.8 (71.4 to 86.2)894.5 (83.1 to 98.4)
 Moderate risk of bias389.5 (57.2 to 98.2)298.2 (92.7 to 99.6)197.2 (95.2 to 98.4)
 High risk of bias155.7 (51.3 to 60.0)
  • *Two studies did not report study period.

  • n, number of studies.