Changes in average population-weighted annual exposure to air pollution (NO2 and PM10, in micrograms per cubic metre) and associated impacts as YLG according to circular zone and SEP in subjects living along HTRs
2001 | 2005 without policy | Difference with/without policy 2005 optimistic scenario | Difference with/without policy 2005 pessimistic scenario | Residents 2005 along HTR | Mortality rates per 100 000 population | YLG per 100 000 during 15 years optimistic scenario | YLG per 100 000 during 15 years pessimistic scenario | |||||||
NO2 | PM10 | NO2 | PM10 | NO2 | PM10 | NO2 | PM10 | NO2 | PM10 | NO2 | PM10 | |||
By circular zone | ||||||||||||||
Outside main ring | 12.86 | 3.47 | 9.69 | 2.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 681 | 924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Main ring | 22.76 | 7.51 | 17.3 | 6.07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 230 | 924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Green strip | 26.76 | 9.85 | 20.6 | 7.69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 401 | 924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Railway ring | 23.49 | 9.07 | 17.84 | 7.01 | −3.27 | −0.54 | −2.42 | −0.45 | 59 181 | 924 | 4109 | 671 | 3030 | 559 |
Limited traffic zone | 23.52 | 9.13 | 17.98 | 7.12 | −4.02 | −0.68 | −2.97 | −0.57 | 3029 | 924 | 5084 | 858 | 3731 | 693 |
By SEP | ||||||||||||||
1 (high) | 23.92 | 8.69 | 18.22 | 6.76 | −1.21 | −0.20 | −0.90 | −0.17 | 57 733 | 854 | 1387 | 229 | 1031 | 194 |
2 | 25.33 | 9.25 | 19.36 | 7.23 | −1.00 | −0.17 | −0.74 | −0.14 | 61 174 | 933 | 1167 | 198 | 863 | 163 |
3 | 24.53 | 8.77 | 18.79 | 6.89 | −0.62 | −0.10 | −0.46 | −0.08 | 63 325 | 901 | 733 | 118 | 543 | 95 |
4 | 23.70 | 8.56 | 18.01 | 6.67 | −0.57 | −0.10 | −0.42 | −0.08 | 45 180 | 896 | 655 | 115 | 483 | 91 |
5 (low) | 22.22 | 7.83 | 16.91 | 6.21 | −0.29 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.04 | 37 110 | 1029 | 340 | 59 | 245 | 46 |
Total | 24.12 | 8.70 | 18.4 | 6.81 | −0.78 | −0.13 | −0.58 | −0.11 | 264 522 | 924 | 921 | 153 | 685 | 130 |
Baseline mortality rates standardised for age using the total Rome population of 2005. Pre–post differences of 2005 based on population-weighted average concentrations of address data of 264 522 subjects. We have assumed that the difference results in a reduction in hazards for the years 2005 till 2019 based on the CRF of 1.06 per 10 μg/m3 in NO2 or PM10. These CRFs were applied for people aged ≥30 years. HTR: >10 000 vehicles circulating per day.
CRF, concentration–response function; HTR, high-traffic road; SEP, socioeconomic position; YLG, years of life gained.