Table 2 Per cent change in daily cardiovascular mortality per 10°C increase in maximum temperature across eight regions and four levels of maximum hourly ozone during summer in 95 large US communities (log relative rate) by latitude and longitude
RegionCommunities, nLevel 1Level 2Level 3Level 4Difference (level 4–1)*
Current dayNorth 1120.88 (−1.92 to 3.21)4.54 (1.72 to 7.38)5.66 (1.60 to 10.86)10.88 (6.54 to 16.32)10.0 (4.90 to 15.9)
North 2121.81 (−1.65 to 7.07)4.84 (1.99 to 8.42)4.83 (1.51 to 8.34)8.24 (4.11 to 11.8)6.44 (0.28 to 11.37)
North 3121.00 (−1.61 to 3.17)4.54 (1.58 to 7.64)3.24 (−0.54 to 6.21)8.62 (4.32 to 12.88)7.62 (2.72 to 12.43)
North 4110.37 (−3.05 to 2.97)2.88 (−1.27 to 6.07)5.95 (2.54 to 9.90)7.71 (3.54 to 11.28)7.33 (2.30 to 12.02)
South 1120.62 (−3.41 to 3.74)5.01 (1.77 to 9.39)3.45 (−1.29 to 6.07)6.49 (0.06 to 10.64)5.87 (−1.48 to 11.73)
South 2122.15(−0.59 to 6.30)3.60 (−0.78 to 6.67)2.58 (−3.83, 7.00)7.70 (2.40 to 12.14)5.55 (−0.66 to 10.82)
South 3121.55 (−0.65 to 4.45)4.26 (1.12 to 7.32)3.21 (−0.95, 6.54)7.48 (3.27 to 10.91)5.93 (0.90 to 10.18)
South 4121.67 (−0.56 to 4.74)3.92 (1.02 to 6.40)5.17 (2.22 to 8.20)8.73 (6.10 to 12.21)7.06 (3.26 to 11.15)
National951.27 (−0.82 to 3.39)4.20 (1.80 to 6.41)4.26 (1.27 to 7.02)8.23 (5.00 to 11.09)6.96 (3.15, 10.40)
Lag 1North 1121.03 (−1.41 to 3.31)4.15 (1.55 to 6.88)5.29 (1.20 to 10.39)10.27 (6.55 to 15.78)9.24 (4.66 to 15.02)
North 2121.53 (−0.72 to 4.38)4.59 (1.79 to 8.27)5.03 (1.81 to 8.87)8.51 (5.23 to 11.79)6.99 (2.75 to 10.86)
North 3120.47 (−2.39 to 2.58)3.87 (1.23 to 6.41)2.61 (−1.33 to 5.96)8.87 (5.03 to 13.29)8.40 (4.03 to 13.36)
North 4110.01 (−3.47 to 2.27)2.81 (−1.12 to 5.39)5.28 (2.10 to 9.16)8.33 (4.94 to 11.67)8.32 (4.11 to 13.01)
South 1120.48 (−2.71 to 2.94)4.11 (0.90 to 7.80)3.20 (−1.71 to 6.80)7.28 (1.78 to 10.92)6.79 (0.78 to 11.56)
South 2121.51 (−1.08 to 4.95)3.40 (0.11 to 6.25)3.31 (−1.92 to 7.46)7.86 (2.86 to 11.68)6.35 (0.35 to 11.01)
South 3121.13 (−1.11 to 3.33)3.85 (1.16 to 6.56)3.50 (−0.45 to 6.92)7.60 (3.89 to 10.66)6.47 (2.20 to 10.31)
South 4121.10 (−0.81 to 3.10)3.25 (0.12 to 5.70)5.11 (2.07 to 8.31)8.65 (5.89 to 11.88)7.56 (4.03 to 11.26)
National950.92 (−0.90 to 2.63)3.75 (1.61 to 5.74)4.16 (1.36 to 6.82)8.42 (5.74 to 10.98)7.50 (4.28 to 10.64)
  • *Difference of the Bayesian meta-analysis between level 4 (highest) and level 1 (lowest) of maximum hourly ozone concentration; the values in the parentheses are 95% posterior intervals (PI).