Table 1 Per cent change in daily cardiovascular mortality per 10°C increase in maximum temperature across several regions and four levels of maximum hourly ozone during summer in 95 large US communities (log relative rate)
RegionCommunities, nLevel 1Level 2Level 3Level 4Difference (level 4–1)*
Current dayNortheast151.02 (−1.67 to 3.13 )4.82 (2.43 to 7.70)5.45 (1.91 to 10.23)11.20 (6.44 to 16.17)10.18 (4.79 to 15.78)
Industrial Midwest191.44 (−0.69 to 3.58)4.74 (2.45 to 6.76)3.79 (1.06 to 6.17)9.72 (6.34 to 13.05)8.28 (4.35 to 12.07)
Upper Midwest70.07 (−5.15 to 2.97)4.25 (0.75 to 7.40)3.53 (−1.62 to 7.65)6.18 (−1.16 to 11.99)6.10 (−2.32 to 13.80)
Northwest120.65 (−2.24 to 2.96)3.63 (0.02 to 6.32)4.80 (1.80 to 8.12)9.09 (5.35 to 12.87)8.43 (3.83 to 13.18)
Southeast261.22 (−1.05 to 3.30)4.18 (1.43 to 6.54)3.02 (0.05 to 5.58)7.23 (2.84 to 10.51)6.01 (1.01 to 10.23)
Southwest91.65 (−0.95 to 4.82)4.59 (1.66 to 7.72)4.07 (0.48 to 7.78)6.43 (0.80 to 10.85)4.78 (−1.61 to 10.04)
Southern California72.08 (−0.43 to 5.04)4.27 (1.12 to 6.81)5.47 (2.62 to 9.05)8.55 (4.47 to 13.28)6.46 (1.44 to 11.88)
National951.17 (−1.06 to 3.06)4.35 (2.12 to 6.41)4.31 (1.59 to 7.08)8.31 (4.22 to 11.99)7.15 (2.63 to 11.40)
Lag 1Northeast151.08 (−1.66 to 3.65)4.53 (2.00 to 7.67)4.95 (1.77 to 9.07)10.59 (6.18 to 15.52)9.50 (4.50 to 15.14)
Industrial Midwest191.47 (−2.05 to 6.32)4.22 (2.06 to 6.52)4.23 (1.82 to 6.44)9.96 (6.55 to 13.58)8.49 (2.78 to 13.60)
Upper Midwest7−0.46 (−5.13 to 2.76)3.70 (0.42, 6.88)3.74 (−1.08, 7.07)6.94 (0.10 to 12.36)7.39 (−0.33 to 14.68)
Northwest120.02 (−2.87 to 2.47)3.01 (−0.27 to 5.61)4.59 (1.90 to 7.39)9.37 (5.66 to 13.19)9.35 (4.93 to 14.13)
Southeast260.73 (−1.85 to 2.73)3.62 (0.91 to 6.01)3.82 (0.72 to 6.07)7.17 (3.42 to 10.45)6.44 (1.81 to 10.57)
Southwest90.73 (−1.85 to 2.73)3.89 (0.85 to 7.09)4.03 (0.27 to 7.04)7.27 (1.78 to 11.17)6.18 (−0.15 to 11.29)
Southern California71.68 (−0.99 to 4.88)3.12 (−0.78 to 5.96)5.10 (2.45 to 8.37)8.95 (4.89 to 13.71)7.26 (2.14 to 12.79)
National950.80 (−1.63 to 3.26)3.73 (1.47 to 5.94)4.35 (1.93 to 6.56)8.62 (4.85 to 11.99)7.82 (3.25 to 12.11)
  • *Difference of the Bayesian meta-analysis between level 4 (highest) and level 1 (lowest) of maximum hourly ozone concentration; the values in the parentheses are 95% posterior intervals (PI).