Table 5 Predicting the propensity to being susceptible versus immune to any sickness absence (zero-inflation part) and the duration of sickness absence, if susceptible (negative binomial part)
Zero-inflated part (ZI)Negative binomial part (NB)
CoefficientOR (95 CI)CoefficientMR (95 CI)
Baseline (odds for ZI, mean for NB)0.290.75 (0.41 to 1.37)1.604.93 (3.45 to 7.04)
Male blue collar1.997.30 (4.72 to 11.30)0.671.95 (1.45 to 2.62)
Male white collar (ref)0101
Female white collar1.424.13 (2.20 to 7.76)0.021.02 (0.68 to 1.54)
Age (years)
18290.161.17 (0.48 to 2.86)0.051.05 (0.72 to 1.52)
30340.211.24 (0.52 to 2.93)0.040.96 (0.65 to 1.40)
3539 (ref)0101
40440.220.81 (0.40 to 1.63)0.150.86 (0.62 to 1.20)
45490.680.51 (0.26 to 1.01)0.011.01 (0.71 to 1.43)
50540.640.53 (0.26 to 1.06)0.090.91 (0.65 to 1.27)
55610.680.51 (0.26 to 1.01)0.161.18 (0.84 to 1.66)
Health problems
None (ref)0101
One0.241.27 (0.76 to 2.12)0.621.87 (1.44 to 2.42)
Two or more0.922.51 (1.35 to 4.68)1.233.41 (2.64 to 4.40)
  • Estimated model coefficients, odds ratios (OR) and mean ratios (MR) with 95 CI from fitting a zero-inflated negative binomial regression Model 1 including age, gender, occupational grade and the presence of self-reported health problems as covariates.

  • The estimate of the dispersion parameter was 0.56.

  • Zero-inflated part refers to the model component for predicting membership to the subpopulation A with high propensity to zero absence, and Negative binomial part to the component predicting the days on sick leave among the susceptible subpopulation B. To facilitate interpretation, for the zero-inflation part we have shown the odds ratios associated with the complementary propensity to having any sickness absencethat is, inclusion in subpopulation B.