Table 4

 Factors assessed at baseline related to sick leave due to neck or back pain at the 3-year follow-up

Risk factors*NCases†Adjusted OR
Results from multivariate logistic regressions, per variable set.
*In all the multivariate analyses, sex, age, neck pain during the previous year and back pain during the previous year were included together with all variables within each variable set with p⩽0.10 from univariate analyses.
†The number of participants reporting sick leave due to neck or back pain.
‡From the short form-36 (SF-36).34,35 Higher scores indicate better functioning. Range 0–100.
Background/demographic factors*
    Employment grade
        Blue-collar12041131.00
        White-collar378130.36 (0.20 to 0.65)
    Citizenship at birth
        Swedish14271031.00
        Other155231.84 (1.12 to 3.04)
Lifestyle factors*
        Smoking
        Non-smokers1217891.00
        Quit smoking during past year4282.78 (1.21 to 6.38)
        Smokers303281.26 (0.80 to 1.99)
    Physical activities in leisure time except exercise (cleaning, gardening, etc)
        No activity75131.00
        <30 min/day474390.44 (0.22 to 0.88)
        >1 h/day1013730.39 (0.20 to 0.76)
Health-related and pain-related characteristics*
    Physical functioning (SF-36)‡
        Lowest category (1) >95755391.00
        (2) 90—95365261.21 (0.72 to 2.05)
        (3) ⩽90421602.05 (1.30 to 3.24)
    Sick leave during the previous year (all causes except neck or back pain)
        No687411.00
        1–7 days557441.35 (0.86 to 2.12)
        8–24 days218261.74 (1.02 to 2.96)
        25–99 days63102.45 (1.14 to 5.27)
        100–365 days1643.91 (1.15 to 13.26)
    Neck pain during the previous year
        No889531.00
        Yes, one time15360.60 (0.25 to 1.42)
        Yes, several times499661.89 (1.26 to 2.83)
Physical work characteristics*
    Perceived exertion at work
        Hard/very, very hard 14–20510521.00
        Fairly light/somewhat hard 10–13828660.81 (0.55 to 1.20)
        Very light 8–917340.23 (0.08 to 0.66)
        Very, very light 6–77120.30 (0.07 to 1.28)
Psychosocial work characteristics*
    Exposed to bullying
        No15181161.00
        Yes56112.13 (1.03 to 4.38)