Four models with differences in available data on mortality from pleural mesothelioma, statistical modelling, and assigned birth cohort risks to be used in predictions of number of deaths from pleural mesothelioma 2000–28
| Model | Mortality data | Statistical model | Hypothesis on birth cohort risks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1969–93 | Age-cohort | Assigned risks of birth cohorts after 1957 decline sharply from 0.44 to 0 in the next three birth cohorts |
| 2 | 1969–98 | Age-cohort | Risks of birth cohorts after 1957 were assigned the risk of birth cohort 1953–57 |
| 3 | 1969–98 | Age-cohort | Risk of birth cohort 1958–62 was assigned 50% of the risk of birth cohort 1953–57 and birth cohorts beyond 1962 were assigned zero risk |
| 4 | 1969–98 | Age-period-cohort | Risk of birth cohort 1958–62 was assigned 50% of the risk of birth cohort 1953–57 and birth cohorts beyond 1962 were assigned zero risk |