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Original research
Survival of patients with asbestosis can be assessed by risk-predicting models
  1. Eerika Keskitalo1,2,
  2. Johanna Salonen1,2,
  3. Hannu Vähänikkilä3,
  4. Riitta Kaarteenaho1,2
  1. 1 Research Unit of Internal Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
  2. 2 Medical Research Center (MRC) Oulu, Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland
  3. 3 Infrastructure for Population Studies, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
  1. Correspondence to Eerika Keskitalo, Research Unit of Internal Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland; Eerika.Keskitalo{at}student.oulu.fi

Abstract

Objectives Our aim was to investigate the pulmonary function test (PFT) results of patients with asbestosis and determine whether baseline PFTs and the risk-predicting models such as gender, age and physiologic (GAP) variables model and composite physiologic index (CPI) would be useful in predicting survival in these patients.

Methods Demographics and PFTs of 100 patients with asbestosis were evaluated. The survival difference between the GAP stages was determined with Kaplan-Meier survival curves with statistical significance analysed with log-rank test. The suitability of the risk-predicting models and baseline PFTs to predict the survival of patients was analysed with Cox regression.

Results At baseline, the mean value of diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) was 65%; for forced vital capacity it was 81%, with restrictive lung function being the most common impairment. The median estimated survival of the patients was 124 months, that is, 171 months in GAP stage I, 50 months in stage II and 21 months in stage III (p<0.001). CPI, DLCO% predicted, age at baseline and GAP stage were significant predictors of mortality (all p values under 0.001).

Conclusions GAP and CPI as well as baseline DLCO% predicted were significant parameters in the evaluation of the prognosis of the patients with asbestosis; they may be useful in clinical practice when considering treatment strategies of individual patients.

  • asbestos
  • pneumoconioses
  • lung function
  • respiratory

Data availability statement

Data are available upon reasonable request.

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Data availability statement

Data are available upon reasonable request.

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Footnotes

  • Contributors EK collected the study material, analysed and interpreted the data and prepared the draft of the manuscript. JS participated in the interpretation of data. HV participated in the statistical data analyses. RK managed and designed the study, planned the data collection form and interpreted the data. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

  • Funding EK has received grants for scientific work from the Research Foundation of the Pulmonary Diseases and the Foundation of the Finnish Anti-Tuberculosis Association. JS has received grants for scientific work from the Foundation of the Finnish Anti-Tuberculosis Association and the Research Foundation of the Pulmonary Diseases. RK has received grants for the study group from the Foundation of the Finnish Anti-Tuberculosis Association, the Research Foundation of the Pulmonary Diseases, the Research Foundation of North Finland, the Jalmari and Rauha Ahokas Foundation and a state subsidy of the Oulu University Hospital. Funding bodies have not affected the contents of this study.

  • Competing interests The authors have the following competing interests that have not affected the contents of this study. EK reports congress fees and travel costs from Orion Pharma. JS reports congress fees and travel costs from Boehringer-Ingelheim, Novartis, Orion Pharma, Ratiopharm and Roche, and lecture fees from Boehringer-Ingelheim, Chiesi, GlaxoSmithKline, Mundipharma, Orion Pharma and Roche. RK has received a congress travel cost from Orion Pharma; consulting fees from Boehringer-Ingelheim and lecture fees from Roche, Boehringer-Ingelheim and Ratiopharm. HV declare no competing interests.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

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