Table 2

Associations of physical heaviness of work at baseline in 1986 with radiating and local low back pain at follow-up in 2007 (ORs and their 95% CIs)

Physical heaviness of work at baselineModel 0: crudeModel 1: adjusted for ageModel 2: adjusted for age, smoking and BMIModel 3: adjusted for age, smoking and BMI, and mediating effects of pain in 1986
OR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CI
Radiating low back pain
Women (n=414)
 Sedentary or physically light work1.001.001.001.00
 Medium heavy work2.35(1.30 to 4.26)2.55(1.37 to 4.71)2.41(1.29 to 4.50)2.43(1.30 to 4.54)
 Heavy work3.86(1.55 to 9.63)4.06(1.62 to 10.18)4.09(1.62 to 10.31)3.98(1.57 to 10.07)
Men (n=324)
 Sedentary or physically light work1.001.001.001.00
 Medium heavy work1.84(0.88 to 3.85)1.74(0.83 to 3.65)1.68(0.79 to 3.59)1.23(0.56 to 2.72)
 Heavy work2.16(1.15 to 4.05)2.06(1.09 to 3.88)2.01(1.06 to 3.82)1.56(0.80 to 3.07)
Local low back pain
Women (n=414)
 Sedentary or physically light work1.001.001.001.00
 Medium heavy work1.39(0.81 to 2.38)1.34(0.77 to 2.32)1.26(0.72 to 2.20)1.27(0.72 to 2.22)
 Heavy work2.13(0.88 to 5.17)2.08(0.86 to 5.07)2.11(0.86 to 5.15)2.03(0.82 to 4.98)
Men (n=324)
 Sedentary or physically light work1.001.001.001.00
 Medium heavy work1.99(1.08 to 3.66)2.14(1.15 to 3.99)2.06(1.09 to 3.89)1.82(0.95 to 3.48)
 Heavy work1.66(0.97 to 2.82)1.77(1.03 to 3.03)1.71(0.99 to 2.95)1.55(0.89 to 2.71)
  • BMI, body mass index.