Table 3

HRs from Andersen–Gill models with piecewise exponential baseline hazard and employee-level frailty term of time-varying disease status

VariableBase modelHeart diseaseHypertensionDiabetesDepress-ionAsthma
HR (95% CI)p valueHR (95% CI)p valueHR (95% CI)p valueHR (95% CI)p valueHR (95% CI)p valueHR (95% CI)p value
Comorbidities
Any comorbidity
Heart disease1.23 (1.11 to 1.36)***
Hypertension0.97 (0.92 to 1.02)
Diabetes1.17 (1.08 to 1.27)***
Depression1.25 (1.12 to 1.38)***
Asthma1.14 (1.02 to 1.27)*
Calendar year (ref is 1997)******************
19980.94 (0.83 to 1.06)0.93 (0.83 to 1.06)0.94 (0.83 to 1.06)0.93 (0.83 to 1.06)0.93 (0.83 to 1.05)0.93 (0.83 to 1.06)
19990.83 (0.74 to 0.94)0.83 (0.74 to 0.94)0.83 (0.74 to 0.94)0.83 (0.74 to 0.94)0.83 (0.74 to 0.94)0.83 (0.74 to 0.94)
20000.92 (0.81 to 1.04)0.91 (0.81 to 1.03)0.92 (0.81 to 1.04)0.92 (0.81 to 1.03)0.91 (0.81 to 1.03)0.92 (0.81 to 1.03)
20010.49 (0.43 to 0.56)0.49 (0.43 to 0.55)0.49 (0.43 to 0.56)0.49 (0.43 to 0.55)0.49 (0.43 to 0.55)0.49 (0.43 to 0.55)
20020.52 (0.46 to 0.59)0.52 (0.46 to 0.58)0.52 (0.46 to 0.59)0.52 (0.46 to 0.59)0.52 (0.46 to 0.58)0.52 (0.46 to 0.59)
20030.48 (0.43 to 0.54)0.48 (0.42 to 0.54)0.48 (0.43 to 0.55)0.48 (0.42 to 0.54)0.48 (0.42 to 0.54)0.48 (0.42 to 0.54)
20040.55 (0.48 to 0.62)0.54 (0.48 to 0.62)0.55 (0.49 to 0.62)0.54 (0.48 to 0.62)0.54 (0.48 to 0.61)0.55 (0.48 to 0.62)
20050.57 (0.50 to 0.64)0.57 (0.50 to 0.64)0.57 (0.50 to 0.64)0.57 (0.50 to 0.64)0.56 (0.50 to 0.64)0.57 (0.50 to 0.64)
20060.50 (0.44 to 0.56)0.50 (0.44 to 0.56)0.50 (0.44 to 0.56)0.50 (0.44 to 0.56)0.49 (0.44 to 0.56)0.50 (0.44 to 0.56)
20070.47 (0.42 to 0.53)0.47 (0.41 to 0.53)0.47 (0.42 to 0.53)0.47 (0.41 to 0.53)0.47 (0.41 to 0.53)0.47 (0.41 to 0.53)
First 12 months on the job (inexperienced)1.22 (1.17 to 1.26)***1.22 (1.18 to 1.26)***1.21 (1.17 to 1.26)***1.22 (1.18 to 1.26)***1.22 (1.18 to 1.26)***1.22 (1.18 to 1.26)***
Non-white ethnicity1.05 (1.00 to 1.10)*1.05 (1.00 to 1.10)*1.05 (1.00 to 1.10)1.04 (0.99 to 1.09)1.05 (1.00 to 1.10)*1.05 (1.00 to 1.10)*
Male gender0.74 (0.70 to 0.78)***0.73 (0.70 to 0.77)***0.74 (0.70 to 0.78)*0.74 (0.70 to 0.77)***0.74 (0.71 to 0.78)***0.74 (0.70 to 0.78)***
First job at company1.01 (0.96 to 1.06)1.01 (0.96 to 1.06)1.01 (0.96 to 1.06)1.01 (0.96 to 1.06)1.01 (0.96 to 1.06)1.01 (0.96 to 1.06)
Age at start of job0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)***0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)***0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)***0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)***0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)***0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)***
Smelter plant1.40 (1.33 to 1.47)***1.40 (1.33 to 1.47)***1.40 (1.33 to 1.47)***1.40 (1.33 to 1.47)***1.40 (1.33 to 1.47)***1.40 (1.33 to 1.47)***
Union plant1.52 (1.42 to 1.63)***1.52 (1.42 to 1.64)***1.52 (1.41 to 1.63)***1.52 (1.41 to 1.63)***1.52 (1.41 to 1.63)***1.52 (1.42 to 1.64)***
Original plant1.05 (0.98 to 1.12)1.05 (0.98 to 1.12)1.05 (0.98 to 1.12)1.05 (0.98 to 1.12)1.05 (0.98 to 1.12)1.05 (0.98 to 1.12)
Frailty at employee level0.99 (0.94 to 1.05)0.99 (0.94 to 1.05)0.99 (0.94 to 1.05)0.99 (0.93 to 1.05)0.99 (0.93 to 1.05)0.99 (0.94 to 1.05)
  • * p Value less than 0.001.

  • ** p Value less than 0.01.

  • ***p Value less than 0.05.