Table 3

Associations of group-level risk factors with prolonged sickness absence (>5 days in total) in past 12 months because of musculoskeletal disorders

Risk factorNumber of occupational groups exposedLevel of exposureModel 4*Model 5†Model 6†
Mean(SD‡)PRR(95% CI)PRR(95% CI)PRR(95% CI)
Unemployment rate ≥10%121.05(0.74 to 1.48)0.98(0.61 to 1.57)1.04(0.70 to 1.54)
Full sick pay in first three months absence251.11(0.80 to 1.54)1.07(0.72 to 1.59)1.06(0.74 to 1.52)
Social security for long-term unemployment281.28(0.94 to 1.75)0.80(0.47 to 1.37)0.87(0.48 to 1.58)
Financial support for ill-health retirement (sometimes or usually)281.31(0.90 to 1.89)1.33(0.87 to 2.01)0.98(0.65 to 1.46)
Payment for primary care (part or full)190.91(0.66 to 1.26)1.02(0.65 to 1.61)1.09(0.69 to 1.71)
Compensation for work-related musculoskeletal disorders (any)381.27(0.92 to 1.75)1.11(0.73 to 1.70)1.08(0.77 to 1.51)
Group prevalence (%) of adverse beliefs about work-relatedness of musculoskeletal pain§4739210.93(0.82 to 1.06)1.24(1.04 to 1.48)1.22(1.01 to 1.47)
Group prevalence (%) of adverse beliefs about musculoskeletal pain and physical activity§4722190.84(0.71 to 0.99)0.62(0.48 to 0.81)0.68(0.53 to 0.85)
Group prevalence (%) of adverse beliefs about prognosis of musculoskeletal pain§471691.02(0.88 to 1.18)1.02(0.85 to 1.22)1.03(0.86 to 1.23)
Group prevalence (%) of time pressure at work§4777161.33(1.14 to 1.56)1.54(1.30 to 1.82)1.43(1.24 to 1.65)
Group prevalence (%) of lack of support at work§4722201.03(0.93 to 1.15)1.04(0.92 to 1.17)1.06(0.93 to 1.22)
Group prevalence (%) of job dissatisfaction§4717160.95(0.76 to 1.20)1.10(0.91 to 1.33)1.05(0.84 to 1.32)
Group prevalence (%) of lack of job control§4722201.20(1.03 to 1.40)1.28(1.12 to 1.47)1.08(0.90 to 1.28)
Group prevalence (%) of job insecurity§4731180.91(0.74 to 1.11)0.79(0.67 to 0.93)0.94(0.78 to 1.13)
Group prevalence (%) of >5days absence in past 12 months for other illness§471061.45(1.28 to 1.64)1.34(1.16 to 1.56)
  • Analysis was based on 47 occupational groups.

  • *Each risk factor analysed independently in a separate Poisson regression model.

  • †Mutually adjusted risk estimates derived from a single Poisson regression model incorporating all the risk factors for which results are presented.

  • ‡Mean and SD of prevalence (%) across the 47 occupational groups.

  • §Analysed as a continuous variable. Risk estimates are for an increase of one SD.

  • PRR, prevalence rate ratio.