Table 4

Changes in average population weighted annual exposure to air pollution (NO2 and PM10, in micrograms per cubic metre) and associated impacts as YLG according to circular zone and SEP in residents within 150 m from HTRs

PopulationMortality rates per 100 000NO2PM10
Pre–post difference optimistic scenario (NO2)Pre–post difference pessimistic scenario (NO2)YLG per 100 000 during 15 years optimistic scenarioYLG per 100 000 during 15 years pessimistic scenarioPre–post difference optimistic scenario (PM10)Pre–post difference pessimistic scenario (PM10)YLG per 100 000 during 15 years optimistic scenarioYLG per 100 000 during 15 years pessimistic scenario
By circular zone
 Outside main ring98 89692400000000
 Main ring235 96492400000000
 Green strip495 71392400000000
 Railway ring225 839924−2.50−1.8531172300−0.41−0.34506420
 Traffic limited zone21 048924−3.13−2.3233622483−0.53−0.44563467
By SEP
 1 (high)218 584854−0.96−0.711097810−0.16−0.13153124
 2250 135933−0.77−0.57884654−0.13−0.11197166
 3237 853901−0.54−0.40630466−0.09−0.08138123
 4202 108896−0.37−0.28421319−0.07−0.0610590
 5 (low)168 7801029−0.17−0.12195138−0.03−0.025638
Total1 077 460924−0.59−0.43686500−0.10−0.0811693
  • Baseline mortality rates standardised for age using the total Rome population of 2005. Pre–post differences of 2005 based on population-weighted average concentrations of address data of 1 077 460 subjects. We have assumed that the difference results in a reduction in hazards for the years 2005 till 2019 (15 years) based on the CRF of 1.06 per 10 μg/m3 in NO2 or PM10 when considering the entire city or the circular zone and SEP-specific CRFs when considering SEP (PM10 only). These CRFs were applied for people aged ≥30 years. By SEP and NO2: CRF=1.06. By SEP and PM10: CRF of 1.05 for the highest SEP group, 1.08 for the three middle groups, and a CRF of 1.10 for the lowest group. HTR: >10 000 vehicles circulating per day.

  • CRF, concentration–response function; HTR, high-traffic road; SEP, socioeconomic position; YLG, years of life gained.