Table 4

 Estimated % increase (and 95% confidence intervals) in mortality over the ensuing one month period associated with a 1°C drop in the daytime mean temperature (when temperature <11°C) on any given day

Cause of deathEstimate (95% CI)
All cause mortality, all ages2.93 (2.46 to 3.39)
All cause mortality, >65 years3.34 (2.81 to 3.87)
All cause mortality, <65 years1.40 (0.38 to 2.41)
Cardiovascular, all ages3.35 (2.64 to 4.06)
Cardiovascular, >65 years3.65 (2.87 to 4.42)
Cardiovascular, <65 years1.90 (0.10 to 3.67)
Respiratory mortality, all ages4.81 (3.45 to 6.16)
Respiratory mortality, >65 years4.65 (3.18 to 6.10)
Respiratory mortality, <65 years5.90 (2.60 to 9.08)
“Other” cause mortality, all ages1.71 (0.99 to 2.41)
“Other” cause mortality, >65 years2.06 (1.19 to 2.93)
“Other” cause mortality, <65 years0.46 (−0.86 to 1.77)