Percentage change (and 95% confidence intervals) in mortality associated with a 1°C fall in the daytime mean temperature (dry bulb) or daytime mean wind chill temperature by cause of death
| Daytime mean dry bulb temperature | Daytime mean wind chill temperature | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cause of death | Lag* | Estimate† (95% CI) | LR test‡ | Estimate† (95% CI) | LR test‡ |
| *All six lag periods included in model simultaneously. | |||||
| †To enable a direct comparison of the lag 0 estimates with the 6 day lag estimates, the estimates refer to a 1°C decrease in the daytime mean temperature on any one day within each lag period. | |||||
| ‡LR test compared model that included all temperature lag periods versus model that excluded all temperature lag periods. | |||||
| All cause, all ages | 0 | −0.20 (−0.33 to −0.08) | χ2 = 284.6, p = <0.001 | −0.20 (−0.31 to −0.09) | χ2 = 234.9, p = <0.001 |
| 1–6 | 0.18 (0.15 to 0.21) | 0.16 (0.13 to 0.18) | |||
| 7–12 | 0.12 (0.09 to 0.14) | 0.08 (0.05 to 0.10) | |||
| 13–18 | 0.08 (0.05 to 0.11) | 0.05 (0.03 to 0.08) | |||
| 19–24 | 0.06 (0.03 to 0.09) | 0.04 (0.02 to 0.07) | |||
| 25–30 | 0.01 (−0.01 to 0.04) | −0.00 (−0.03 to 0.02) | |||
| Cardiorespiratory, all ages | 0 | −0.18 (−0.34 to −0.01) | χ2 = 240.6, p = <0.001 | −0.12 (−0.27 to 0.03) | χ2 = 196.8, p = <0.001 |
| 1–6 | 0.22 (0.18 to 0.26) | 0.18 (0.14 to 0.22) | |||
| 7–12 | 0.14 (0.10 to 0.18) | 0.10 (0.07 to 0.14) | |||
| 13–18 | 0.12 (0.08 to 0.16) | 0.08 (0.05 to 0.12) | |||
| 19–24 | 0.07 (0.03 to 0.11) | 0.06 (0.02 to 0.09) | |||
| 25–30 | 0.01 (−0.03 to 0.05) | 0.01 (−0.05 to 0.02) | |||