Table 3

 Baseline predictors of return to paid employment at one year after ill health retirement (n = 1095)

VariableNo. retiredNo. back to work (%)Unadjusted OR* (95% CI)Adjusted OR† (95% CI)
*Unadjusted odds ratio (relative chance of being re-employed at 12 months) obtained from cross-tabulations.
†Adjusted odds ratio obtained from a multiple logistic regression model including all variables.
Country
    Wales1206 (5)1.01.0
    England975140 (14)3.2 (1.4 to 7.4)2.7 (1.1 to 6.5)
Ethnicity
    Non-white9910 (10)1.01.0
    White996136 (14)1.4 (0.7 to 2.8)1.0 (0.5 to 2.2)
Sex
    Female79993 (12)1.01.0
    Male29653 (18)1.7 (1.1 to 2.4)1.1 (0.7 to 1.7)
Age group
    55–64 years49641 (8)1.01.0
    45–54 years44672 (16)2.1 (1.4 to 3.2)2.2 (1.4 to 3.4)
    25–44 years15333 (22)3.0 (1.8 to 5.0)2.9 (1.6 to 5.2)
Medical condition
    Musculoskeletal56672 (13)1.01.0
    Psychiatric18436 (20)1.7 (1.1 to 2.6)1.1 (0.6 to 2.0)
    Cardiovascular12415 (12)0.9 (0.5 to 1.7)0.8 (0.4 to 1.6)
    Other22123 (10)0.8 (0.5 to 1.3)0.6 (0.4 to 1.1)
Occupational group
    Healthcare assistants/support staff30723 (8)1.01.0
    Nurses/midwives43348 (11)1.5 (0.9 to 2.6)1.2 (0.7 to 2.1)
    Ambulance workers5113 (26)4.2 (2.0 to 9.0)2.3 (1.0 to 5.4)
    Administrative/estates18228 (15)2.2 (1.2 to 4.0)1.7 (0.9 to 3.2)
    Technical/professional5411 (20)3.2 (1.4 to 6.9)2.0 (0.9 to 4.7)
    Doctors/surgeons6823 (34)6.3 (3.3 to 12.2)3.7 (1.8 to 7.9)
Financial dependants
    No78990 (11)1.01.0
    Yes30656 (18)1.7 (1.2 to 2.5)1.0 (0.7 to 1.6)
Physical QoL: PCS score
    Less than 3063249 (8)1.01.0
    30–4938479 (21)3.1 (2.1 to 4.6)3.1 (2.0 to 4.8)
    50 or more7918 (23)3.5 (1.9 to 6.4)3.2 (1.5 to 6.9)
Mental QoL: MCS score
    Less than 3027334 (13)1.01.0
    30–4957972 (12)1.0 (0.6 to 1.5)1.8 (1.1 to 3.0)
    50 or more24340 (17)1.4 (0.9 to 2.3)2.8 (1.5 to 5.2)