Table 3

Odds ratios (95% CI) for alcohol dependence at phase 3 by other risk factors at phase 1, adjusted for age and employment grade (model 1), and additionally adjusted for work characteristics and other risk factors (model 2)

Men (n = 4809)Women (n = 1998)
Model 1Model 2Model 1Model 2
GHQ caseness
    No1111
    Yes1.64 (1.3 to 2.0)1.14 (0.9 to 1.4)1.61 (1.1 to 2.3)1.17 (0.8 to 1.8)
Longstanding illness
    No1111
    Yes1.84 (1.4 to 2.4)1.43 (1.1 to 1.9)1.51 (0.9 to 2.5)1.23 (0.7 to 2.2)
Negative affectivity score1.18 (1.13 to 1.22)1.11 (1.06 to 1.17)1.17 (1.10 to 1.24)1.14 (1.05 to 1.23)
Smoking
    None1111
    Ex-smoker2.13 (1.7 to 2.6)1.62 (1.3 to 2.0)2.43 (1.6 to 3.6)1.80 (1.2 to 2.8)
    1–10 a day2.41 (1.6 to 3.6)1.63 (1.1 to 2.5)2.29 (1.1 to 4.6)1.22 (0.6 to 2.6)
    11–20 a day1.65 (1.1 to 2.6)0.97 (0.6 to 1.6)2.19 (1.2 to 4.0)1.69 (0.9 to 3.2)
    21+ a day3.05 (2.0 to 4.6)1.38 (0.9 to 2.2)3.26 (1.5 to 7.3)1.42 (0.6 to 3.5)
Units of alcohol M (W)
    00.88 (0.6 to 1.4)0.84 (0.5 to 1.3)0.67 (0.3 to 1.4)0.67 (0.3 to 1.4)
    1–10 (1–7)1111
    11–24 (8–14)3.20 (2.5 to 4.2)2.96 (2.3 to 3.9)4.47 (2.7 to 7.3)4.28 (2.6 to 7.1)
    25–35 (15+)6.98 (5.3 to 9.2)6.73 (5.0 to 9.0)9.44 (5.7 to 15.7)8.77 (5.2 to 14.9)
    36+10.72 (8.0 to 14.4)9.47 (6.9 to 12.9)14.47 (5.0 to 42.0)11.65 (3.7 to 36.6)
Exercise
    Vigorous1111
    Moderate0.92 (0.7 to 1.2)0.93 (0.7 to 1.2)0.72 (0.4 to 1.2)0.72 (0.4 to 1.3)
    Mild/none1.18 (0.9 to 1.5)1.18 (0.9 to 1.5)0.75 (0.4 to 1.3)0.82 (0.5 to 1.4)
Negative aspects of close relationships
    Low1111
    Medium1.30 (1.0 to 1.6)1.17 (0.9 to 1.5)1.02 (0.7 to 1.6)0.86 (0.5 to 1.4)
    High1.76 (1.4 to 2.2)1.32 (1.0 to 1.7)1.26 (0.8 to 1.9)0.87 (0.5 to 1.4)
Network size
    Low1111
    Medium0.77 (0.6 to 1.0)0.71 (0.6 to 0.9)0.80 (0.5 to 1.2)0.69 (0.4 to 1.1)
    High0.85 (0.7 to 1.1)0.75 (0.6 to 1.0)0.68 (0.4 to 1.1)0.59 (0.4 to 0.9)