Table 3

Risk of incident neck/shoulder pain according to previous history of musculoskeletal pain at baseline

Previous musculoskeletal painNumber of nurses*Cases of neck/shoulder pain during follow up Number (%)Hazard ratio† (95% CI)
*Data were missing for up to 36 nurses.
†Adjusted for age, BMI, and frequently feeling tired, low, tense, or under stress.
Neck/shoulder pain
Interval since last neck pain
    Never35599 (28)1
    >1 year ago at baseline10142 (42)1.6 (1.1 to 2.3)
    Within the past year at baseline9954 (55)2.8 (2.0 to 3.9)
ptrend<0.001
Total duration of previous neck pain
    Never35599 (28)1
    <1 week8031 (39)1.7 (1.1 to 2.5)
    1–4 weeks6435 (55)2.3 (1.5 to 3.3)
    >4 weeks5529 (53)2.6 (1.7 to 4.0)
ptrend<0.001
    >4 weeks and pain within past year (compared to never had pain)2916 (55)3.3 (1.9 to 5.8)
Low back pain
Interval since last back pain
    Never22254 (24)1
    >1 year ago at baseline11146 (41)1.8 (1.2 to 2.7)
    Within the past year at baseline22195 (43)1.9 (1.4 to 2.7)
ptrend<0.001
Total duration of previous back pain
    Never22254 (24)1
    <1 week7625 (33)1.4 (0.9 to 2.3)
    1–4 weeks10946 (42)1.8 (1.2 to 2.7)
    >4 weeks14470 (49)2.3 (1.6 to 3.3)
ptrend<0.001
    >4 weeks and pain within past year (compared to never had pain)10755 (51)2.6 (1.8 to 3.9)