Table 5

Results overview

Optimistic Pessimistic
Annual mortality peak {year of the peak} (mean (2.5 percentile–97.5 percentile)):
 1140 {2026} (820 {2026}–1480 {2027})1300 {2043} (990 {2043}–1630 {2043})
Total number of deaths occurring in 1995–2050 period (mean (2.5 percentile–97.5 percentile)):
 44 480 (32 860–58 910)57 020 (45 430–68 730)
Total of lost person-years of life due to deaths occurring in 1997–2050 period
(mean (2.5 percentile–97.5 percentile)):
 877 200 (647 300–1 163 100)1 171 500 (913 800–1 419 900)