Comparison of posterior probabilities given by the full bayesian (FB) and spatial random field (RF1, RF2) models: RRk denotes the estimated relative risk in the subarea Ak, k =1,2,3
| FB | RF1 | RF2 | |
| Pr(RR1 > RR2‖O) | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Pr(RR1 > RR3‖O) | 0.98 | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Pr(RR2 > RR3‖O) | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Pr(RR1 > 1‖O) | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Pr(RR2 > 1‖O) | 0.95 | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Pr(RR3 > 1‖O) | 0.99 | 0.32 | 3-150 |
↵3-150 In RF2, the area effect for the sub-areaA3 was fixed to 1.20, so no posterior probability was calculated.