Table 6

Models showing the effect of stepwise adjustment, incidences (95% CIs)/ΔSD of pollutant relative to incidence at mean pollutant concentration (for ozone lag=0 days; for all other pollutants lag=2 days)

Pollutant ΔSD Total cases Cases <2 y Cases >2 y Total controls
Ozone unadjusted−1.51.64 (1.32 to 2.04)2.69 (2.09 to 3.47)1.14 (0.86 to 1.52)1.00 (0.94 to 1.06)
+Seas−1.51.39 (1.18 to 1.64)2.01 (1.61 to 2.52)1.04 (0.82 to 1.31)1.04 (0.98 to 1.11)
+Seas+temp−1.51.24 (1.01 to 1.53)1.85 (1.42 to 2.42)0.91 (0.68 to 1.21)1.06 (0.99 to 1.13)
+Seas+temp+ws−1.51.26 (1.00 to 1.58)1.84 (1.37 to 2.48)0.93 (0.66 to 1.31)1.03 (0.97 to 1.10)
Seas+temp+ws+inf−1.51.22 (0.96 to 1.55)1.65 (1.22 to 2.22)0.97 (0.69 to 1.36)1.04 (0.97 to 1.12)
Ozone unadjusted+2.51.06 (0.81 to 1.30)1.19 (0.73 to 1.93)0.96 (1.37 to 0.83)1.10 (1.00 to 1.20)
+Seas+2.51.26 (0.91 to 1.74)1.53 (0.89 to 2.62)1.11 (0.77 to 1.59)1.04 (0.95 to 1.14)
+Seas+temp+2.51.45 (1.02 to 2.04)1.68 (0.97 to 2.92)1.31 (0.88 to 2.18)1.01 (0.92 to 1.12)
+Seas+temp+ws+2.51.43 (1.00 to 2.04)1.69 (0.97 to 2.94)1.28 (0.86 to 1.91)1.03 (0.93 to 1.14)
+Seas+temp+ws+inf+2.51.42 (0.99 to 2.03)1.63 (0.94 to 2.84)1.30 (0.87 to 1.94)1.03 (0.93 to 1.14)
SO2unadjusted+11.11 (1.04 to 1.19)1.13 (1.04 to 1.24)1.10 (1.01 to 1.19)1.00 (0.98 to 1.02)
+Seas+11.10 (1.02 to 1.18)1.09 (0.99 to 1.19)1.11 (1.01 to 1.21)1.01 (0.99 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+11.07 (1.00 to 1.14)1.05 (0.97 to 1.14)1.08 (0.99 to 1.18)1.02 (1.00 to 1.04)
+Seas+temp+ws+11.07 (1.00 to 1.15)1.05 (0.97 to 1.13)1.09 (1.00 to 1.18)1.02 (1.00 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+ws+inf+11.07 (1.00 to 1.15)1.04 (0.97 to 1.12)1.09 (1.00 to 1.19)1.02 (1.00 to 1.03)
NO2unadjusted+11.10 (1.03 to 1.18)1.17 (1.05 to 1.29)1.06 (0.99 to 1.13)1.01 (0.99 to 1.03)
+Seas+11.07 (1.01 to 1.13)1.09 (0.99 to 1.20)1.05 (0.99 to 1.12)1.02 (1.00 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+11.05 (1.00 to 1.10)1.07 (0.98 to 1.17)1.04 (0.98 to 1.11)1.02 (1.00 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+ws+11.05 (1.00 to 1.10)1.06 (0.97 to 1.16)1.04 (0.98 to 1.11)1.02 (1.00 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+ws+inf+11.05 (1.00 tp 1.10)1.07 (0.98 to 1.17)1.04 (0.98 to 1.11)1.02 (1.00 to 1.03)
PM10 unadjusted+11.07 (1.00 to 1.14)1.03 (0.96 to 1.11)1.09 (0.99 to 1.19)1.01 (0.99 to 1.03)
+Seas+11.07 (0.99 to 1.15)1.01 (0.92 to 1.11)1.11 (1.00 to 1.22)1.01 (0.99 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+11.06 (0.98 to 1.13)1.00 (0.91 to 1.09)1.10 (1.00 to 1.21)1.01 (1.00 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+ws+11.06 (0.98 to 1.13)1.00 (0.92 to 1.08)1.10 (1.00 to 1.21)1.01 (1.00 to 1.03)
+Seas+temp+ws+inf+11.06 (0.99 to 1.14)1.00 (0.92 to 1.09)1.10 (1.00 to 1.21)1.01 (1.00 to 1.03)
Average HC unadjusted+11.14 (1.09 to 1.18)1.20 (1.13 to 1.28)1.09 (1.04 to 1.14)0.99 (0.97 to 1.01)
+Seas+11.08 (1.04 to 1.12)1.10 (1.05 to 1.17)1.06 (1.00 to 1.12)1.00 (0.98 to 1.02)
+Seas+temp+11.06 (1.03 to 1.10)1.09 (1.03 to 1.15)1.04 (0.99 to 1.10)1.00 (0.99 to 1.02)
+Seas+temp+ws+11.06 (1.03 to 1.10)1.08 (1.02 to 1.14)1.05 (0.99 to 1.11)1.00 (0.98 to 1.02)
+Seas+temp+ws+inf+11.06 (1.03 to 1.10)1.08 (1.02 to 1.14)1.05 (0.99 to 1.11)1.00 (0.98 to 1.02)
  • Seas=season; temp=temperature; ws=wind speed; inf=infection.