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Social disparities in heart disease risk and survivor bias among autoworkers: an examination based on survival models and g-estimation
  1. Sadie Costello1,
  2. Sally Picciotto1,
  3. David H Rehkopf2,
  4. Ellen A Eisen1
  1. 1School of Public Health, Environmental Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, California, USA
  2. 2Division of General Medical Disciplines, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA
  1. Correspondence to Dr Sadie Costello, School of Public Health, University of California, 50 University Hall, #7360, Berkeley, CA 94720-7360, USA; sadie{at}berkeley.edu

Abstract

Objectives To examine gender and racial disparities in ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality related to metalworking fluid exposures and in the healthy worker survivor effect.

Methods A cohort of white and black men and women autoworkers in the USA was followed from 1941 to 1995 with quantitative exposure to respirable particulate matter from water-based metalworking fluids. Separate analyses used proportional hazards models and g-estimation.

Results The HR for IHD among black men was 3.29 (95% CI 1.49 to 7.31) in the highest category of cumulative synthetic fluid exposure. The HR for IHD among white women exposed to soluble fluid reached 2.44 (95% CI 0.96 to 6.22). However, no increased risk was observed among white men until we corrected for the healthy worker survivor effect. Results from g-estimation indicate that if white male cases exposed to soluble or synthetic fluid had been unexposed to that fluid type, then 1.59 and 1.20 years of life would have been saved on average, respectively.

Conclusions We leveraged the strengths of two different analytic approaches to examine the IHD risks of metalworking fluids. All workers may have the same aetiological risk; however, black and female workers may experience more IHD from water-based metalworking fluid exposure because of a steeper exposure–response or weaker healthy worker survivor effect.

  • Metalworking Fluid
  • Heart Disease
  • Health Disparities
  • Healthy Worker Survivor Effect
  • G-Estimation

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 3.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/

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