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Mesothelioma mortality in men: trends during 1977-2001 and projections for 2002-2016 in Spain.
  1. Sílvia Pitarque (silvia.pitarque{at}upf.edu)
  1. Occupational Health Research Unit. Pompeu Fabra University, Spain
    1. Ramon Cleries (r.cleries{at}iconcologia.net)
    1. Catalonian Oncology Institute, Spain
      1. J.Miguel Martinez (jmiguel.martinez{at}upf.edu)
      1. Occupational Health Research Unit. Pompeu Fabra University, Spain
        1. Gonzalo Lopez-Abente (glabente{at}isciii.es)
        1. National Epidemiology Centre, Spain
          1. Manolis Kogevinas (kogevinas{at}imim.es)
          1. Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Spain
            1. Fernando G Benavides (fernando.benavides{at}upf.edu)
            1. Occupational Health Research Unit. Pompeu Fabra University, Spain

              Abstract

              Objectives: To evaluate mesothelioma death trends in Spain and to predict future cases of mesothelioma. Methods: After descriptive analysis of mesothelioma mortality data, an age-period-cohort model was applied to make projections of mesothelioma deaths. Results: From 1977 to 2001, 1,928 men older than 35 died of mesothelioma in Spain. Projections indicate that 1,321 men are expected to die from mesothelioma between 2007 and 2016. Conclusion: It is expected that mesothelioma deaths will increase at least until 2016. Available data do not allow a prediction of the year mortality will start decreasing.

              • asbestos
              • occupational diseases
              • pleural neoplasms

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