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Occup Environ Med 61:616-621 doi:10.1136/oem.2003.009571
  • Original article

Deindustrialisation and the long term decline in fatal occupational injuries

Table 3

 Estimated rate of fatal unintentional occupational injury in 1980 and estimated annual trend in the injury rate for industries with shrinking versus growing or stable share of employment

Geographic region and industry group 1980 rate per 100 000 worker-years* Annual % change 1980–96* 95% CI†
*Estimated from the Poisson regression model log(rate) = β01(year); 1980 rate = 100,000[exp(β0)]; annual percent change = 100[exp(β1)−1].
†95% CI for annual % change.
United States
    All industries 5.11 −3.73 −3.88 to −3.58
    Shrinking 8.37 −2.65 −2.88 to −2.42
    Stable or growing 3.84 −3.43 −3.62 to −3.24
Northeast
    All industries 2.42 −2.03 −2.47 to −1.59
    Shrinking 3.28 −0.20 −1.02 to 0.63
    Stable or growing 2.10 −2.01 −2.55 to −1.47
South
    All industries 6.95 −4.28 −4.50 to −4.05
    Shrinking 10.64 −3.47 −3.81 to −3.13
    Stable or growing 5.27 −4.02 −4.32 to −3.72
Midwest
    All industries 4.52 −2.83 −3.13 to −2.52
    Shrinking 6.73 −1.63 −2.11 to −1.14
    Stable or growing 3.51 −2.66 −3.06 to −2.26
West
    All industries 5.86 −4.89 −5.20 to −4.57
    Shrinking 10.90 −4.61 −5.11 to −4.10
    Growing or stable 4.29 −4.33 −4.74 to −3.92

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