Table 4
Comparison of peak numbers of deaths and total death toll from pleural mesothelioma over 2000–28 according to four prediction models described in table 1
| Year of peak | Peak death number | Relative deviation | Death toll 2000–28 | Relative deviation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men | |||||
| Model 1 | 2027 | 960 | 22061 | ||
| Model 2 | 2028 | 613 | −36.1% | 14899 | −32.5% |
| Model 3 | 2017 | 490 | −49.0% | 12412 | −43.7% |
| Model 4 | 2017 | 501 | −47.8% | 12435 | −43.6% |
| Women | |||||
| Model 1 | 2007 | 37 | 861 | ||
| Model 2 | 2007 | 36 | −2.7% | 893 | 3.7% |
| Model 3 | 2007 | 35 | −5.4% | 783 | −9.1% |
| Model 4 | 2007 | 29 | −21.6% | 708 | −17.7% |
