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Occup Environ Med 58:315-320 doi:10.1136/oem.58.5.315
  • Paper

Small area estimation of incidence of cancer around a known source of exposure with fine resolution data

Table 3

Comparison of posterior probabilities given by the full bayesian (FB) and spatial random field (RF1, RF2) models: RRk denotes the estimated relative risk in the subarea Ak, k =1,2,3

FB RF1 RF2
Pr(RR1 > RR2‖O) 0.96 1.00 0.96
Pr(RR1 > RR3‖O) 0.98 1.00 0.99
Pr(RR2 > RR3‖O) 0.77 1.00 0.86
Pr(RR1 > 1‖O) 0.99 1.00 1.00
Pr(RR2 > 1‖O) 0.95 0.97 0.99
Pr(RR3 > 1‖O) 0.99 0.32 3-150

  • ↵3-150 In RF2, the area effect for the sub-areaA3 was fixed to 1.20, so no posterior probability was calculated.

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