© 2005 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
EDITORIAL
Epidemiology
Smoothing is soothing, and splines are fine
Correspondence to:
Correspondence to:
Dr K Steenland
Emory University, Rollins School of Public Health, 1518 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA; nsteenl@sph.emory.edu
Commentary on the paper by Eisen et al (Occup Environ Med, October 2004)*
Keywords: splines; smoothing
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Eisen and colleagues have provided a good example of the use of smoothing splines in a thorough analysis of exposure-response data, for a study of lung cancer in relation to silica exposure.1 Exposure-response data are increasingly important for two reasons.
First, as noted by Bradford Hill, a positive exposure-response provides support for a causal interpretation of an association. In the case of silica and lung cancer, evidence of a positive-exposure response in several studies has provided important support for the original 1997 IARC judgement that silica is a class I (definitive) carcinogen. That judgement has remained controversial because in some studies the exposed population has not had a higher lung cancer rate than the non-exposed comparison group. Some have argued that this may be because the surface properties of silica change in different settings and may have different toxicities, so that in some cases silica may not increase lung
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