Short report
Cohort mortality and cancer incidence survey of recent entrants
(1982-91) to the United Kingdom rubber industry: preliminary findings
J K Straughana, T Sorahanb
a British Rubber
Manufacturers' Association Health Research Unit, Scala House, Holloway
Head, Birmingham B1 1EQ, UK, b Department of Occupational Epidemiology,
Institute of Occupational Health, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT,
UK
Correspondence to: Dr J K Straughan
Accepted 5 April 2000
OBJECTIVES
To
monitor the occurrence of stomach and lung cancer in a newly defined
cohort of United Kingdom rubber workers and to report findings for
other cancers in an early period of follow up.
METHODS
A
prospective cohort of 9031 male and female workers from 42 United
Kingdom rubber factories has been enumerated. All employees had a
minimum of 12 months employment and were first employed at one of the
participating factories in the period 1982-91. Mortality data were
available for the period 1983-98 and cancer registration data for the
period 1983-94. The mortality and cancer incidence experienced by the
cohort were compared with expected values based on national rates
defined by period, age, and sex.
RESULTS
Mortality
from lung cancer was close to expectation (men: observed (obs) 11, expected (exp) 12.70, standardised mortality ratio (SMR) 87, 95%
confidence interval (95% CI) 43 to 155; women: obs 0, exp 1.34, SMR 0, 95% CI 0 to 275). Mortality from stomach cancer was unexceptional
(men: obs 1, exp 2.69, SMR 37, 95% CI 1 to 207; women: obs 0, exp
0.24, SMR 0, 95% CI 0 to 1537). Many statistical comparisons were made
both for mortality data and for cancer registration data; only one
difference between observed and expected numbers was significant
(mortality from cancer of the testis: obs 3 exp 0.51, SMR 589, 95% CI
122 to 1722). Corresponding findings for incident cancers of the testis
were unexceptional (obs 5, exp 5.13, standardised registration ratio
(SRR) 97, 95% CI 32 to 227).
CONCLUSION
The
findings should be treated with caution as they relate to an early
period of follow up. Nevertheless, they hold out the prospect that the
increased SMRs for stomach and lung cancers reported for historical
cohorts of United Kingdom rubber workers may not be apparent in more
recent cohorts.
Keywords: rubber workers; lung cancer; stomach cancer; cohort study
© 2000 by Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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