Historical cohort study of 10 109 men in the North American vinyl chloride industry, 1942-72: update of cancer mortality to 31 December 1995
K A Mundt, L D Dell, R P Austin, R S Luippold, R Noess, C Bigelow
Applied
Epidemiology, PO Box 2424, Amherst, MA 01004 Massachusetts, USA
Correspondence to: Dr Kenneth A Mundt kmundt{at}appliedepi.net
Accepted 6 July 2000
OBJECTIVES
To update
and assess mortality from neoplasms to 31 December 1995 among 10 109
men employed in a job exposed to vinyl chloride for at least 1 year
between 1942 and 1972 at any of 37 North American factories. Previous
analyses indicated associations between employment in vinyl production
and increased mortality risk from cancers of the liver and biliary
tract, due to increased mortality from angiosarcoma of the liver, and
brain cancer.
METHODS
Standardised
mortality ratio (SMR) analyses, overall and stratified by several work
related variables, were conducted with United States and state
reference rates. Cox's proportional hazards models and stratified log
rank tests were used to further assess occupational factors.
RESULTS
895 of 3191 deaths (28%) were from malignant neoplasms, 505 since the previous
update to the end of 1982. Mortality from all causes showed a deficit
(SMR 83, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 80 to 86), whereas
mortality from all cancers combined was similar to state referent
rates. Mortality from cancers of the liver and biliary tract was
clearly increased (SMR 359, 95% CI 284 to 446). Modest excesses of
brain cancer (SMR 142, 95% CI 100 to 197) and cancer of connective and
soft tissue (SMR 270, 95% CI 139 to 472) were found. Stratified SMR
and Cox's proportional hazard analyses supported associations with age
at first exposure, duration of exposure, and year of first exposure for
cancers of the liver and soft tissues, but not the brain.
CONCLUSIONS
Excess
mortality risk from cancer of the liver and biliary tract, largely due
to angiosarcoma, continues. Risk of mortality from brain cancer has
attenuated, but its relation with exposure to vinyl chloride remains
unclear. A potentially work related excess of deaths from cancer of
connective and soft tissue was found for the first time, but was based
on few cancers of assorted histology.
Keywords: vinyl chloride; angiosarcoma; liver; brain; connective tissue; soft tissue; neoplasms
© 2000 by Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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